Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.197103 1.425186 1.698996 2.056207 2.516338 3.098145 3.904371e+00
2024-12-22 0.834402 1.089132 1.435320 1.955573 2.746405 3.956066 6.062907e+00
2024-12-29 0.679833 0.948089 1.347664 2.018257 3.188049 5.310168 9.942249e+00
2025-01-05 0.572066 0.837410 1.260692 2.034971 3.547263 6.733300 1.537537e+01
2025-01-12 0.485233 0.736190 1.157666 1.981913 3.745884 7.969485 2.200340e+01
2025-01-19 0.423704 0.662489 1.081504 1.950277 3.970173 9.434278 3.185097e+01
2025-01-26 0.395434 0.639027 1.087804 2.082404 4.632833 12.668446 5.681474e+01
2025-02-02 0.367660 0.610997 1.078446 2.177119 5.258843 16.521106 1.019044e+02
2025-02-09 0.335499 0.569470 1.033523 2.175447 5.619054 19.901795 1.678941e+02
2025-02-16 0.304292 0.525205 0.974658 2.122590 5.799479 22.832056 2.631878e+02
2025-02-23 0.284551 0.500614 0.953293 2.161039 6.320951 28.486501 5.210439e+02
2025-03-02 0.269657 0.483641 0.945552 2.234918 7.034053 37.002305 1.290968e+03
2025-03-09 0.251744 0.458751 0.916839 2.245412 7.536265 45.806493 3.459486e+03
2025-03-16 0.230882 0.425356 0.863158 2.167398 7.619289 51.682437 8.336218e+03
2025-03-23 0.220668 0.413575 0.859803 2.247592 8.530745 70.191301 8.983919e+04
2025-03-30 0.208622 0.396336 0.840039 2.268840 9.182382 89.913750 2.075679e+07
2025-04-06 0.194268 0.372416 0.799652 2.208295 9.346124 104.080550 NaN
2025-04-13 0.182400 0.352967 0.768255 2.172048 9.647189 124.366143 NaN
2025-04-20 0.178804 0.352091 0.786095 2.324074 11.346574 200.005645 NaN
2025-04-27 0.173677 0.347045 0.791771 2.433290 12.935513 312.880250 NaN
2025-05-04 0.165334 0.333469 0.771437 2.431362 13.685133 418.558708 NaN
2025-05-11 0.155934 0.316504 0.739153 2.370393 13.887883 507.157689 NaN
2025-05-18 0.150307 0.308284 0.731364 2.414737 15.155841 771.883617 NaN